On President Obama’s inauguration day for his second term,
the Economist explores the economic performance of two-term presidents since
the start of the 20th century.
A range of sources measured performance according to industrial
production, federal debt, GDP, stock market, household income, unemployment
rate, and real house prices. The overall
score of each president’s second term decreases by an average of 4.2 percentage
points from their first term score.
Don’t write off Obama’s second term yet, though. Franklin Roosevelt’s highly successful New Deal
policies in his first term led to a substantially lower relative second term,
and three of the eleven two-term presidents (including most recent Democratic president
Bill Clinton) had higher economic performances in their second terms.
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