With the 2012 presidential
election only months away, Gallup’s Election 2012 Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney
pits the two candidates in a tight race – so tight, in fact, that the two are
in a statistical tie. Registered voters were asked: “Suppose the presidential
election were held today. If
Barack Obama were the Democratic Party’s candidate and Mitt Romney were the
Republican Party’s candidate, who would you vote for Barack Obama, the Democrat
or Mitt Romney, the Republican?”
Undecided voters were asked which candidate they leaned towards, and their
responses were incorporated into the results. If the election were held today, Gallup's results (with the margin of error falling at ±3%) indicate that the result is too close to call.
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About TeachingwithData.org
TeachingWithData.org is a partnership between the Inter-university Consortium for Political and Social Research (ICPSR) and the Social Science Data Analysis Network (SSDAN), both at the University of Michigan. The project is funded by NSF Award 0840642, George Alter (ICPSR), PI and William Frey (SSDAN), co-PI.
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