Gallup’s party identification poll found that the percentage
of American identifying as independents hit a record high in 2011. Gallup cites "the sluggish economy, record
levels of distrust in government, and unfavorable views of both parties" as
causes for this record. These results,
however, closely mirror recent results in the year directly preceding a
presidential election year. Spikes in
independent political affiliation also occurred in 1995, 1999, 2003, and 2007.
As in most years since 1988, Democrats outnumber
Republicans, 31% to 27%. When measuring
party identification including independent leanings, however, those identifying
as Republican or leaning Republican constituted 45% of respondents, equaling
the 45% responding as Democrat or leaning Democratic. Though Democrats and Democratic leaners led
by one percent in 2010, this gap is significantly smaller than Gallup’s poll results
since 2004. Says Gallup: "If national
conditions and the political environment do not change appreciably…independent
identification – even if it declines – will probably remain on the higher end
of what Gallup has measured historically."
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